The bets I’m making this Super Bowl weekend.

Super Bowl 59 is upon us and so it’s time for my final article of the season. With the fantasy football season long over and worthwhile content thin on the ground, I’ll be focusing on rookie scouting for the next month or two.

As well as getting ready for NFL Draft season, I’ll be focusing on making improvements to the blog for next year, including better visuals and a more timely post schedule. I really appreciate all of the support this season and will still be writing the odd feature here and there, but won’t be forcing out articles for the sake of it.

For now though, here are my final player prop bets of the season as we edge closer to an unbelievable showdown in New Orleans.

Super Bowl 59 Player Prop Bets

Patrick Mahomes

Perhaps the main character of the show, Patrick Mahomes‘ incredible run of Super Bowl appearances and successes is well documented. Hopefully, like myself, you’ve been able to overlook the “villain” narrative in the last week or so and can look forward to watching some of the world’s best players face off on Sunday.

Like it or not, the Chiefs have the best play-callers on both sides of the ball and the best quarterback on the planet. The beauty of competition is the drama of each round and the inevitability of the Chiefs has maybe robbed us of some of that drama in recent years. But they’re just the best team around at the moment, there’s no real argument to be had there.

Speaking of inevitability, Mahomes has appeared in four Super Bowls so far and his rushing yards have increased each time. Starting with 29 yards in 2020, Mahomes then recorded 33, 44 and 66 rushing yards in 2021, 2023 and 2024 respectively.

With an outstanding Eagles pass rush to contend with, I’m backing him to pick up more yards on the ground this weekend.

Patrick Mahomes over 29.5 rushing yards 10/11

Patrick Mahomes 40+ rushing yards 7/4

Patrick Mahomes 50+ rushing yards 16/5

Xavier Worthy

Sticking with the Chiefs and I’m backing Xavier Worthy‘s speed and run-after-catch ability to unlock an aggressive Philadelphia defense.

Worthy has recorded 65+ receiving yards in three of his last four games and 10+ rushing yards in four of his last six.

If there’s one thing we know about Andy Reid, it’s that whatever defense he faces, he’ll scheme something up to bypass it. Whilst Zack Baun has been one of the standout defensive players in the league this year, he and Oren Burks are more known for their tackling than their coverage.

Add in the aggressive nature of the Eagles pass rush and I can’t help thinking that Reid will be designing running lanes and quick completions for Worthy all game.

Reid’s love of misdirection in the passing game also makes Worthy one of my touchdown favorites, as those kinds of plays are a Chiefs favorite near the goal line.

Xavier Worthy over 55.5 receiving yards 5/6

Add: Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown 5/2

Xavier Worthy over 5.5 rushing yards 9/4

Or: Xavier Worthy 20+ rushing yards 4/1

Dallas Goedert

Moving over to the Eagles and I’m focusing on Dallas Goedert. My Goedert bet’s are essentially the same as my Worthy bets, but the reasoning is a bit different.

Goedert has 55+ receiving yards in three of his last four games. That alone would probably be enough for me to make this bet, but it’s backed up by Kansas City‘s apparent struggles against tight ends.

The two highest receiving yards totals recorded against the Chiefs this year were by tight ends (Brock Bowers, Isaiah Likely). George Kittle appears at number seven on that list and I remember making a point of this earlier in the season too when recommending Cade Otton as a waiver add (pre-breakout, you’re welcome).

I’m also backing Goedert’s rushing yards prop. Although stats don’t really support this (Goedert rushed zero times this season until the AFC Championship game), he took two carries for 13 yards against Buffalo, and the odds make it worth a shot to me.

Dallas Goedert over 52.5 receiving yards 10/11

Dallas Goedert over 0.5 rushing yards 11/5

Super Bowl 59 Big Bet

I’ve gone with the ground game for this week’s “Big Bet“. I’ve already made the case for Mahomes‘ rushing potential and I doubt you need convincing of Jalen Hurts‘ ability on the ground.

I’ve backed both for fairly modest rushing totals whilst adding a touchdown for both players. Big players step up in big games and Mahomes is the epitome of that, whilst the “tush-push” makes Hurts one of the favorites to score. Hurts has 18 rushing scores this year whilst Mahomes ran in two last time out against Buffalo.

In addition to that, I’ve added another fairly modest rushing total for Saquon Barkley. Some of my favorite bets are just parlays made up of multiple safe totals. This one will likely rest on the touchdowns, but I’ll happily back the two quarterbacks in this one.

Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes 5+ rushing attempts, 30+ rushing yards and 1+ touchdown each. Saquon Barkley 80+ rushing yards 20/1

That’s the betting previews wrapped up for this season. I hope you all have a great Super Bowl weekend and best of luck if your team’s involved.

As I mentioned at the start, I’ll be posting sporadically over the next couple of months before picking things up again in time for draft season. If you’ve enjoyed this or just want to increase your fantasy football content for next season then feel free to subscribe, it’s free!

For now though, if you are gambling, please do so responsibly and make sure to reach out to the appropriate service if you believe you’re gambling is becoming a problem.

In-depth stats taken from Pro Football Reference.

Odds taken from Bet365 (UK).

All odds accurate at the time of writing.