Early Sleepers and Landmines to Look Out For in 2026 Fantasy Drafts

After a few months away, it’s time to ramp up the blog again for the 2026 fantasy season, starting with an initial look at some of the standout values in redraft.

Of course, ADPs and ECR will change throughout the summer as more information reaches us, but here are some players getting overhyped or disrespected in Expert Consensus Rankings.

Overvalued

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Tetairoa McMillan, WR, Carolina Panthers

Having tweaked my rankings lately, and measured them up with consensus, I was surprised to see that I’m significantly lower than consensus on second-year receiver Tetairoa McMillan. The Panthers star is the clear alpha in Carolina, a team that won its division and pushed the Rams all the way in the playoffs this past January.

It’s not that Carolina’s success didn’t translate into fantasy production for McMillan owners; the then-rookie finished as the WR15 overall in half-PPR. McMillan is currently ranked one spot higher than that by consensus (WR14, 30th overall), so why is it that I have him ranked as the WR24 (53rd overall)?

Well, to begin with, McMillan had the advantage of playing a full role in all 17 of Carolina’s games last season. His 10.5 FPPG actually ranked 25th among all receivers, tied with Quentin Johnston. Of the 24 receivers ahead of him, only Tyreek Hill (4), Rashee Rice (8), Malik Nabers (4), and Garrett Wilson (7) played fewer than 10 games, so we can take that ranking at face value.

With the possible exception of Hill, we should be expecting those elite receivers to play far more games in 2026. Other receivers who finished behind McMillan despite averaging more FPPG include DK Metcalf, Alec Pierce, and Christian Watson, who should all be even more efficient this season.

And it wasn’t a fun ride, either. In 17 games, McMillan put up just five top-24 weeks at the position, which is the same number of weeks in which he finished WR45 or lower. So even if you technically ended up with the WR15 over the whole season, he didn’t really help you a great deal outside of some spike weeks.

The Panthers have again improved massively on defense, with some statement free-agency signings and a fleet of young talent added in the draft, so there should be little reason for them to throw more in 2026. Overall, there are both safer and more exciting receivers going after McMillan in drafts, while the running-back cliff comes around sooner than expected this year, so I’ll be looking elsewhere in Round 3.

Ashton Jeanty, RB, Las Vegas raiders

I’m not out on Ashton Jeanty after one year, but I’m also not willing to pass on other elite players to take a chance on him. At 26th overall, I currently have Jeanty ranked 12 spots below consensus, but I struggle to make a case for him to move up. The Raiders have added to their offensive line, but they are still very much a rebuilding team with question marks all over their offense.

Going around the same area in drafts are Derrick Henry, Omarion Hampton, George Pickens, and Chris Olave, all players We’ve seen perform on an NFL field and produce in fantasy. We’ve all seen how explosive Jeanty can be, but we’ve also seen plenty of top prospects not hit the heights at the top level.

I don’t think that will be the case, and I expect Jeanty to improve in 2026, but there is far more room for disappointment than there is for profit when you’re drafting him in the early-mid second round. At that price, I’m happy to wait another year and see how it plays out.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Again, I’m not giving up on Ladd McConkey after a down year, but I have zero interest in drafting him where he’s going. At 63rd overall (WR28), I’m currently 21 spots below consensus on the electric slot receiver.

Keenan Allen is yet to sign anywhere, so his return to LA is still a possibility, while tight end David Njoku has arrived on the team. The fact that the Chargers added Njoku despite already having an exciting young tight end in Oronde Gadsden II suggests there’ll be more two-tight-end sets for the team in 2026.

That makes sense for an offense that should run through Hampton this season, but is does suggest there’ll be fewer slot opportunities for McConkey. I still expect the former Georgia receiver to play an important role for the team, but I also expect it to look more like it did last year, and less like his outstanding 2024 rookie season.

Undervalued

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Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence is currently my QB5 for 2026, neck and neck with Jayden Daniels. I have Lawrence ranked 51st overall, 27 spots higher than consensus, due to his blossoming relationship with head coach and offensive play caller Liam Coen.

From Week 12 on last season, Lawrence recorded only one weekly fantasy finish outside the top seven and five finishes inside the top five (QB7, QB5, QB13, QB1, QB2, QB5, QB3). That his best form came at the end of the year is exactly what you want to see in a first year with a new play caller, and the addition of Jakobi Meyers was a commitment from the team to play to Lawrence’s strengths.

It seemed as though everything clicked for Lawrence down the stretch last year and his 2026 strength of schedule is listed by FantasyPros as the fourth easiest of all QBs.

Quentin johnston, wr, los angeles chargers

Quentin Johnston was the WR31 in Half-PPR last season, while McConkey was the WR29. Despite this, and the aforementioned addition of Njoku, the two receivers are now 28 spots apart in consensus WR rankings for 2026.

Johnston is still paying the price for a disappointing rookie season, and drop issues that were deemed meme-worthy at times. Still, he has since put up back-to-back seasons with eight receiving touchdowns and appears to have put most of his reliability worries behind him.

I’ve got Johnston ranked 83rd overall (WR37), which is still lower than he finished last season, but still 10 spots above his consensus WR ranking. He’ll need to become less touchdown-dependent, but with a little more consistency, the upside is enormous, given his explosiveness and end-zone prowess.

In my opinion, WR37 is somewhere close to his floor, and it wouldn’t shock me to see him put up low-end WR2 numbers if he can play 17 games and continue to improve as an all-round receiver.

Emanuel Wilson, rb, seattle seahawks

This one is more of a late-round sleeper, but I don’t think we’re considering Emanuel Wilson’s potential role in this Seattle Seahawks offense enough. The second I saw that Wilson had signed in Seattle, I assumed he would be covering the Zach Charbonnet role until the starter returned from injury.

That’s not expected to be until at least halfway through the season, and yet nobody is talking about Wilson. Jadarian Price is the exciting new name on the team, but even the Seahawks didn’t actually view him as a first-round talent; they just couldn’t find a team willing to trade picks with them.

Even in college, Price was a part-time back behind Jeremiyah Love, and it baffles me that everyone seems to expect him to take on a workhorse role at the pro level. Wilson impressed when filling in for Josh Jacobs in Green Bay, and he should be the favorite to handle goal-line work for the Seahawks until Charbonnet returns, plus any rotational carries he gets elsewhere.

In fact, it wouldn’t shock me if Wilson ranked in the top-five for rushing touchdowns after the first month or two of the season.

At RB44, Wilson is only 11 spots ahead of consensus in my RB rankings, which isn’t a massive difference once you get that far down boards. His listing in this article is more of a heads up that Wilson could have a solid, fantasy-relevant role for the entire first half of the season, and you can get him for almost nothing. In fact, in dynasty leagues, he is likely sat on the waiver wire, and you should be picking him up for free like I did a few weeks ago.

That’s me done for this one, but I’ll now be back every week throughout the summer with a variety of different articles and viewpoints. Until then, feel free to check out my 2026 rankings, which will be continuously updated as the summer unfolds. You can also follow me on socials, with all the relevant links at the top of the page.

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